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Thinking about the election

Professor Death got a lot of folks stirred up with his pre-mortem for the Republican majority yesterday, but from my POV the anger is more than a little misplaced. Conservatives who are piling on Reynolds for being a "bad coach" have misjudged him as badly as the KosKidz who slam him for being an Administration shill. As long as I've been reading Instapundit, Glenn Reynolds has made it very clear that he's a libertarian first and a supporter of the Bush Administration and the Republican Party only insofar as it supports the things he supports: personal liberties, a booming economy, and since 9/11, the war on Islamic fascism. So expecting Reynolds to line up with a bunch of politicos who seemingly have done everything they could to kick the ball away for the last five years, and driven even reliable partisans like John Hinderaker to despair doesn't make a lot of sense to me. They're not doing the things he thinks need doing; why should he vote for them or support them?

Every one of the gaffes he's listed can be laid at the door of the party leadership, which will deserve no thanks if the GOP somehow manages to prove the pollsters and the futures markets wrong, pull off a successful ground game next month, and hold onto a majority in the House and Senate. I would add to the list, by the way, the inexplicable loyalty the White House showed to Senators Spector and Chafee, a pair of RINOs who did everything they could to make trouble for the Administration on pretty much every issue they could, Why W and Rove backed those two against more conservative challengers is utterly beyond me, and certainly Chafee and Spector have shown themselves ungrateful at beast and treacherous scum at worst.

It's possible that W and Rove are right to be optimistic, that the base will look at the possibility of having Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, John Conyers in charge of the Judiciary Committee, and Charles Rangel in charge of Ways & Means, hold their noses, and pick the R candidate as the lesser of two evils, but Reynolds is right: it didn't have to be this way, and it shouldn't have to be.


( 2 comments — Leave a comment )
Oct. 15th, 2006 08:18 pm (UTC)
I wouldn't count on a comeback. Its the Undecideds that don't listen to talk radio that generally swing the election. They seem to be trending Democrat this year.
Oct. 15th, 2006 09:03 pm (UTC)
That's the conventional wisdom, yeah. In fact, it's more a question of who's better at mobilizing the base and getting out the vote on election day*. This is something the GOP has excelled at over the last eight years, and combined with the Democrats' awesome ability to stick their feet in their mouths, it may just be enough. We'll see how it goes. I'm inclined to wait and see when, how, and what the fat lady sings.

*Unless you're one of those people who think conservatives lie often enough to the Strib's pollers to throw their numbers off and account for the famous "last-minute surge" that inexplicably put Coleman over the top in 2002, Pawlenty in 2004, etc.
( 2 comments — Leave a comment )